Gala Christmas edition of the WinChoice Presidential Winnability Index
As we all settle down for what I hope will be a peaceful holiday season, a few dozen presidential candidates have visions of holding the most powerful elected on earth dancing through their heads. Some of their dreams are so real they could reach out and touch them. Some of their dreams are so delusional that probably they should be committed. But only one of them will get have attained their dream come Christmas morning 2008.
Well, first off, let's do a little housekeeping. Condoleeza Rice is never going to run for president. I know, she'd make a swell one, and there's tons of people out there who wanted to see her run, but it's never going to happen. Once the most potent candidate the GOP could have run, she's fatally compromised by the Iraq war, North Korea's big F you to the world with their nuclear test (incidentally also one of the main reasons the GOP lost congress) and the continuing possibility that Iran will soon join the nuclear powers. Add to this the rise of NeoCzarist Russia, the uncontrolled collapse of Mexico and the loss of Latin America to far lefters, and it's hard to argue that America is in a better position in 2006 than we were in 2004. If Condoleeza Rice ran, not only would she have to defend her asexuality and her libertarian domestic policy beliefs, she would be crucified for the Bush administration's foreign policy record. Plus, the talk I heard in 2005 about her doth protesting too much has completely dried up. She's done, she will never run. So long Condi, I would have voted for you.
If I haven't heard some squeaks from the camps of a couple of my other GOP "might runs" by the end of January, I will probably remove them as well.
On the Democrat side, Evan Bayh wisely chose to end his run. He's not the last Democratic senator who will pull out before spring folks. Dem presidential hopes radiate from the Senate, but it won't be some loser also ran, also won or bumble mouth plagiarizer who will carry the banner in 2008.
Bad news for the GOP - more and more hopeless ego trips are jumping in to cloud the waters and dilute the effect of GOP hope, enthusiasm and campaign donations.
From Virginia, the well-connected but ultimately doomed Jim Gilmore is musing about running. Do your party a favor Jim, and keep on musing. Just about any of the Democrats poised to take the nominaton could beat you, pretty much without campaigning.
Oklahoma offers Frank Keating, also thinking of running. Keating would be a good president I think, and I also think one of these days America will have an Oklahoman president. But it won't be Keating. He's just got too much baggage, inclduing getting sucker-punched by Bush in 2000. I don't think he could ever win, certainly not against a juggernaut like Barack Obama.
As to some Democratic contenders who actually have a chance, I'm nudging Obama down just a hair in response to the thus-far extremely weak anti-Obama backlash attempt, which I understand has been almost completely orchestrated by the Clinton family and their media creatures. Don't worry Democrat true believers - Obama's middle name won't keep him out of the White House.
Hillary gets bumped down because of some polls, both public and internal, that I understand all the insiders are buzzing about. These polls show her losing to virtually any of the most-mentioned GOP contenders and has caused a real crisis of support among Democratic fundraisers and insiders. I have said for a long time I think Hillary is a lot weaker than she looks, but I do think she would beat Giuliani or McCain. Romney could take her, at least if the election were held next week. Ironically, I understand some of the internal polls show her losing to McCain but beating Romney. Trust WinChoice, not polls. Unfortunately, polls make the political world go around.
Finally, John Edwards is doing very well in a number of polls and is generating some real interest. I would be astonished if he ended up president, but who knows. Certainly it was a big mistake for the dems to not nominate him in 2004.
Well, it's almost time for me to wrap up here and go wrap up my daughter's Christmas presents. But you owe it to yourself to absorb some of the interesting ideas in this post at Political Insider. Electability passe? Friends, it always has been. Most "electable" candidates lose. Just ask Bill Clinton or some of the great candidates and elected officials that sadly lost in Nov. 2006. The last think the blind mass-mind of the voting body worries about is electability when they cast their ballot. Usually most of them are voting against someone, not for anyone.
With that, Merry Christmas and happy New Year!
DEMS
Barack Obama (IL) 99 (-1)
Wes Clark (AR) 89
Hillary Clinton (NY) 55 (-1)
John Edwards (NC) 55 (+1)
Bill Richardson (NM) 48
Tom Vilsack (IA) 45
John Murtha (PA) 33
Al Gore (TN) 24
Joe Biden (DE) 16
John Kerry (MA) 14
Mike Gravel (AK) 10
GOP
Haley Barbour (MS) 79
Mitt Romney (MA) 74
Tim Pawlenty (MN) 70
Tom Tancredo (CO) 46
Rudy Giuliani (NY) 32
John McCain (AZ) 26
James Gilmore (VA) 24
Fred Thompson (TN) 23
Chuck Hagel (NE) 20
Mike Huckabee (AR) 19
Duncan Hunter (CA) 19
Sam Brownback (KS) 19
Frank Keating (OK) 17
Tom Coburn (OK) 16
Newt Gingrich (GA) 11
Tommy Thompson (WI) 10
George Pataki (NY) 7
Well, first off, let's do a little housekeeping. Condoleeza Rice is never going to run for president. I know, she'd make a swell one, and there's tons of people out there who wanted to see her run, but it's never going to happen. Once the most potent candidate the GOP could have run, she's fatally compromised by the Iraq war, North Korea's big F you to the world with their nuclear test (incidentally also one of the main reasons the GOP lost congress) and the continuing possibility that Iran will soon join the nuclear powers. Add to this the rise of NeoCzarist Russia, the uncontrolled collapse of Mexico and the loss of Latin America to far lefters, and it's hard to argue that America is in a better position in 2006 than we were in 2004. If Condoleeza Rice ran, not only would she have to defend her asexuality and her libertarian domestic policy beliefs, she would be crucified for the Bush administration's foreign policy record. Plus, the talk I heard in 2005 about her doth protesting too much has completely dried up. She's done, she will never run. So long Condi, I would have voted for you.
If I haven't heard some squeaks from the camps of a couple of my other GOP "might runs" by the end of January, I will probably remove them as well.
On the Democrat side, Evan Bayh wisely chose to end his run. He's not the last Democratic senator who will pull out before spring folks. Dem presidential hopes radiate from the Senate, but it won't be some loser also ran, also won or bumble mouth plagiarizer who will carry the banner in 2008.
Bad news for the GOP - more and more hopeless ego trips are jumping in to cloud the waters and dilute the effect of GOP hope, enthusiasm and campaign donations.
From Virginia, the well-connected but ultimately doomed Jim Gilmore is musing about running. Do your party a favor Jim, and keep on musing. Just about any of the Democrats poised to take the nominaton could beat you, pretty much without campaigning.
Oklahoma offers Frank Keating, also thinking of running. Keating would be a good president I think, and I also think one of these days America will have an Oklahoman president. But it won't be Keating. He's just got too much baggage, inclduing getting sucker-punched by Bush in 2000. I don't think he could ever win, certainly not against a juggernaut like Barack Obama.
As to some Democratic contenders who actually have a chance, I'm nudging Obama down just a hair in response to the thus-far extremely weak anti-Obama backlash attempt, which I understand has been almost completely orchestrated by the Clinton family and their media creatures. Don't worry Democrat true believers - Obama's middle name won't keep him out of the White House.
Hillary gets bumped down because of some polls, both public and internal, that I understand all the insiders are buzzing about. These polls show her losing to virtually any of the most-mentioned GOP contenders and has caused a real crisis of support among Democratic fundraisers and insiders. I have said for a long time I think Hillary is a lot weaker than she looks, but I do think she would beat Giuliani or McCain. Romney could take her, at least if the election were held next week. Ironically, I understand some of the internal polls show her losing to McCain but beating Romney. Trust WinChoice, not polls. Unfortunately, polls make the political world go around.
Finally, John Edwards is doing very well in a number of polls and is generating some real interest. I would be astonished if he ended up president, but who knows. Certainly it was a big mistake for the dems to not nominate him in 2004.
Well, it's almost time for me to wrap up here and go wrap up my daughter's Christmas presents. But you owe it to yourself to absorb some of the interesting ideas in this post at Political Insider. Electability passe? Friends, it always has been. Most "electable" candidates lose. Just ask Bill Clinton or some of the great candidates and elected officials that sadly lost in Nov. 2006. The last think the blind mass-mind of the voting body worries about is electability when they cast their ballot. Usually most of them are voting against someone, not for anyone.
With that, Merry Christmas and happy New Year!
DEMS
Barack Obama (IL) 99 (-1)
Wes Clark (AR) 89
Hillary Clinton (NY) 55 (-1)
John Edwards (NC) 55 (+1)
Bill Richardson (NM) 48
Tom Vilsack (IA) 45
John Murtha (PA) 33
Al Gore (TN) 24
Joe Biden (DE) 16
John Kerry (MA) 14
Mike Gravel (AK) 10
GOP
Haley Barbour (MS) 79
Mitt Romney (MA) 74
Tim Pawlenty (MN) 70
Tom Tancredo (CO) 46
Rudy Giuliani (NY) 32
John McCain (AZ) 26
James Gilmore (VA) 24
Fred Thompson (TN) 23
Chuck Hagel (NE) 20
Mike Huckabee (AR) 19
Duncan Hunter (CA) 19
Sam Brownback (KS) 19
Frank Keating (OK) 17
Tom Coburn (OK) 16
Newt Gingrich (GA) 11
Tommy Thompson (WI) 10
George Pataki (NY) 7
posted by WinChoice | 6:03 PM
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